Will China, Russia And North Korea Launch Their Nukes?
- Will China, Russia, and North Korea Launch Their Nukes?
by Originally published by Gatestone Institute
Commentary
This week, the U.S. Navy’s Carrier Strike Group 5, centered around the USS Ronald Reagan, has been steaming off the east coast of Taiwan.
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Be glad it is there. China has been throwing a diplomatic tantrum—fiercer than usual—because the Biden administration allowed William Lai Ching-te, Taiwan’s vice president, to make “transit” stops in New York and San Francisco on his way to and from Paraguay.
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Beijing in response promised “resolute and forceful measures.” There have been numerous Chinese air and naval provocations near the embattled island republic in the last few days. As soon as Lai arrived in New York, the Chinese foreign ministry called Taiwan “the core of the core interests of China.”
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So, will China go to war soon? And if war comes, will it embroil the world’s great powers? China’s regime has already declared a “people’s war” against America, and has been waging such a struggle with its “unrestricted warfare” tactics.
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But what about a “hot war”? War between China and the United States over Taiwan, as Henry Kissinger said in early June to Bloomberg, is “probable.” China can still be deterred—the presence of the USS Ronald Reagan is almost certainly giving the Chinese military second thoughts—but one thing looks increasingly likely: If there is a war, Russia and North Korea will fight alongside China. The world is dividing into camps.
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China is telling the world that Lai is a one-man provocation. For one thing, he is currently leading in Taiwan’s Jan. 13, 2024 presidential election, and Beijing is unhappy, to say the least. The Chinese Communist regime considers Lai, running on the Democratic Progressive Party line, the “separatist” candidate. Beijing has already labeled the frontrunner a “troublemaker through and through.”
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One American China-watcher, the astute Guermantes Lailari, thinks Chinese ruler Xi Jinping will move on Taiwan this month, perhaps taking one of its offshore islands. Others believe that he will wait for the January election before deciding what to do. These analysts see China’s military exercises as merely an intimidation tactic, meant to make the Taiwanese “fear war.”
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