What If There Is No “Fed Put” – Paul Brodsky Thinks Yellen Will Not Bailout Markets This Time

- I am inclined to agree with Paul Brodsky. The FedRes will not bailout the stock market this time round. Its priority is defending the USD ie. the global monetary hegemony of the western Illuminati. By raising interest rates while other nations are reducing theirs and embarking on more QE, the USD will strengthen against other currencies.
– - What If There Is No “Fed Put” – Paul Brodsky Thinks Yellen Will Not Bailout Markets This Time
by Tyler Durden, www.zerohedge.com
Earlier today, Art Cashin summarized most (very desperate) traders’ thoughts when he said that as a result of today’s market crash, “the Fed will try anything” to prop up the wealth effect it had so carefully engineered with seven years of central planning in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Perhaps the only question left is “where is the put”, or where on the S&P 500 is the Fed’s breaking point beyond which Yellen will have no choice but to make a statement, or take action, in support of the market.
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Yet one person who is far less sanguine abou the latest in a long series of central bank bailouts of the stock market is Macro-Allocation’s Paul Brodsky, who believes that instead of the Fed Put, the time of the Fed Call has come. Here’s why:
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The FedPutCall
Investors are blaming Fed rate hikes, and hence a strong dollar, for weakening global output, commodity prices, and global equity prices so far in 2016. The Fed knows exactly what it’s doing.
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Clearly, investors see the equity markets as the leading indicator of Fed policy. We disagree. The Fed no longer works implicitly for equity investors (i.e., “the Fed Put”); it is primarily working for the U.S. banking system by stabilizing and increasing its deposit base, and for the state by providing an incentive across the world to invest in Treasury debt. By raising rates, it increases the exchange value of the U.S. dollar.
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We have argued further that the Fed is very aware of an imminent global slowdown, and that a logical strategy in such an environment would be for it to import global capital by keeping the dollar un-challenged as a store of value (see King Dollar).
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We would like to reiterate and refine our view: despite increasing discomfort among equity investors, we think the Fed will remain resolute in its effort to maintain or increase the interest rate differential between U.S. and foreign sovereign rates.
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read more.
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