The Breakdown Of 2015 Is Now A Fact
- THE Breakdown Of 2015 Is Now A Fact
by Secular Investor, www.zerohedge.com
We wrote on July 5th that markets are increasingly looking scary. Now, only 3 weeks later, the situation seems to be escalating. Let’s get it straight: this is a serious deflationary bust in the making. The most worrisome fact is Dr. Copper’s technical breakdown, as seen on the first chart.
- The price of copper, being a leading indicator for the health of the global economy, has broken through a multi-decade trend channel. This is really bad news for the global economy, and for markets in particular. This setup carries a message you simply cannot ignore if you are a serious investor.
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Part of the problem resides in China. As the next chart shows, the correlation between the price of copper and the Chinese Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) has been very high. In particular, the copper price has a track record of anticipating the direction of the PMI index. The latest PMI reading earlier this week came in at 48.2 this week, still below the critical 50 level. It indicates that purchasing managers believe economic contraction is prevailing at this point.
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