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Simon Hunt: Market Valuations have Diverged Considerably from Reality

November 20, 2021 by mosesman

  • Palisades Gold Radio
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    –
    Tom welcomes back Simon Hunt to discuss the generational risks in the global economy. There are growing bubbles everywhere, along with enormous amounts of speculation, overvalued markets, and geopolitical tensions which all appear to be worsening. In addition, we have central bankers running wild. Debt can’t continue to grow faster than the economy. Navigating these risks is difficult. You can either run with the crowd or take preventative actions. Interestingly, two countries China and Russia have chosen to take prudent action for their economies. They are preparing for the monetary collapse outside of their countries. They understand that this will end badly. Simon discusses consumer sentiment and how it is signaling higher prices and high inflation. We’re seeing inflation running hotter than income.
    –
    We’re going to see a slow down in global business activity soon. The Fed will certainly respond with more money regardless of its severity. We’re going to see a complete run on the metals because they will be hedging into harder assets and equities. Somewhere around 2025, the US dollar index will be halved to under fifty. We will have a strong inflationary period into 2024 and that’s when we start seeing a collapse similar to 1929-1932. Once we come out of this period we should see a long period of good stable growth. The geopolitical risk appears to be increasing in Eastern Ukraine due largely to western interest and arms sales.
    –
    This is likely a red-line for Russia and at some point, there will be a response that could mean war in Ukraine. China is less likely to take Taiwan over militarily but there are red lines that could be also be crossed by the West. China and Russia both hold very significant gold reserves higher than what they are reporting. Lastly, Simon gives us his outlook on where copper prices could head and how they may be manipulated. Prices could correct if there are any surprise economic shocks or the economy weakens. However, there has been significant pent-up demand for some products which will maintain or increase demand next year. Time Stamp References:
    –

    0:00 – Introduction
    0:42 – Generational Risks
    4:10 – Inflation
    5:30 – Recession or Slowdown?
    6:58 – Fed & Gold/Silver
    10:54 – Geopolitical Tension
    16:55 – China & Outlook

    24:26 – Global Dependence
    26:23 – China Digital Currency
    28:27 – Dollar Consequences
    31:09 – Copper Price Thoughts
    40:58 – Inflation & Copper
    42:40 – Mine Supply Risks
    45:55 – Wrap Up
    –
    Talking Points From This Episode
    – Generational risks and the countries that are preparing for economic collapse.
    – Consumer sentiment is signaling continued inflation along with risks of a recession.
    – Geopolitics and Western interference in Ukraine and Taiwan.
    – Copper market thoughts and what could drive the market from here.

end

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