- ITM Trading Published on Jan 25, 2019
Link to slides and sources: https://www.itmtrading.com/blog/great…
Trade wars continue between the US and China, the two largest global economies. In the US, they say the trade war is having an impact on China’s economy, which is certainly true, but on May 11, 2017, China’s shorter-term debt interest rates rose above longer term debt in a yield curve inversion, one of the most accurate predictors of a recession. So perhaps the trade war merely escalated the decline that was already in process. On December 4, 2018, the US Treasury market experienced a yield curve inversion, which, in my opinion, is a confirmation that we have entered a riskier and more elevated level in the deflationary cycle. JP Morgan said that “Only gold is money, everything else is credit” J. Paul Getty said, “If you owe the bank $100 that’s your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that’s the bank’s problem.” Since 2008, we’ve watched governments underwriting bank losses under the premise of “stimulating” the economy. It’s not working and I’m thinking, we all have a problem. Got gold?