Silver is Following its 1970s Pattern!
- Silver is Following its 1970s Pattern!
by Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, http://www.silverseek.com/
The cyclical bear market in Silver is serving its purpose. Its correcting and digesting the 6-fold advance that took place in less than two and a half years. A similar correction took place in the mid 1970s that led to the parabolic move to $50. Amazingly, if you line up Silver’s performance from its 1971 low to 1980 high with Silver’s performance since its 2008 bottom, you’ll notice strong parallels.
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(Note that the blue prices are rescaled). The initial bull run was stronger, lasted a few more months and that could be why the current correction is slightly deeper. Nevertheless, look at how similar the two are!
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Its important to note that huge moves require long periods of digestion and correction. Commodities typically encounter near vertical moves that are sprung from deeply oversold conditions or multi-year consolidations. The two initial advances on the chart are quite similar and that is a reason why the ensuing corrections are similar.
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Moving along, Silver is at an interesting juncture as it continues to hang above multi-year support at $26 amid persistent extreme bearish sentiment. This chart from Tiho Brkan shows that gross speculative short positions are at their highest levels in decades. The short positions are potential fuel for a sharp rebound.
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read more!
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