Something Blew Up In The Global Financial System
- Emphasis mine:
- Something Blew Up In The Global Financial System
by http://investmentresearchdynamics.com/
Earlier this week I suggested, based on the sudden big spike up in Fed reverse repos in mid-September that there was some kind of derivatives accident that required the Fed to flood the global financial system with Treasury collateral, which is used to satisfy derivatives margin calls.
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This was likely connected to everything that has cratered in value since June 2014, when the price of oil crashed: high yield bonds, industrial commodities, emerging market currencies, biotech stocks, Glencore, Volkswagen and now Deutsche Bank.
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Glencore was originally said to have $30 billion of debt. However, that number did not include the $50 billion in bank credit lines outstanding plus an undetermined amount of unsecured trade finance deals. The total exposure to Glencore debt by banks and investors is now estimated to be as high as $100 billion – LINK.
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To put this in perspective, Enron had $13 billion in debt at the time of its collapse. Moody’s continued to assign a triple-A debt rating to Enron until shortly before it filed for bankruptcy. I mention this to illustrate the unreliability of “expert” hear-say analysis.
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With Glencore the hidden OTC derivatives skeletons are likely much more lethal to the financial system than has been estimated. Just ask AIG and Goldman Sachs about that.
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Deutsche Bank, at $75 trillion in holdings, is the largest derivatives player in the world now. This amount of derivatives is 20x greater than the GDP of Germany. And that’s DB’s “net” exposure. As counterparties default, that $75 trillion blossoms at a geometric rate. Deutsche Bank is too big for the German Government to bail-out without implementing Weimar-era money printing. It’s balance sheet is a nuclear cesspool of toxic assets.
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DB is not only now the lethal sovereign risk of Germany, it is the sovereign risk of the entire EU. Whereas Bear Stearns the Lehman triggered the Great Financial Collapse in the U.S., Deutsche Bank could potentially trigger the collapse of the global financial system.
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read more.

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