Dubai Sees Massive Surge in Gold Bullion Demand (10x Normal) as Price Plunge!
- Gold price falls to $1,420/oz: Dubai sees massive surge in bullion demand!
by Vicky Kapur, http://www.emirates247.com/
Dubai demand for gold has been witnessing a massive surge since the price collapse of last month, with demand far outstripping supply. Various estimates suggest that demand in the past few weeks has been nothing short of astronomical, surging by 10 times the normal demand.
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According to the latest precious metals weekly report by Gerhard Schubert, Head of Precious Metals at local bank Emirates NBD, “Participants of the physical industry in Dubai believe that an additional 50 tonnes have been bought since the price crash in April. These sales figures are in addition to the ‘usual’ numbers and put a little perspective on the derivative side of the market.”
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The usual numbers that Schubert refers to are the same as the demand seen since April. According to World Gold Council data, total consumer demand for gold in the UAE (not just Dubai) stood at 51.8 tonnes for the entire year 2012, which means that demand was about 4.31 tonnes per month during last year.
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Compared with that, as Schubert mentions, Dubai demand in the past few weeks has been 50 tonnes plus ‘usual’ numbers, in effect reflecting the massive surge in interest that gold has seen in this past few weeks.
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“Physical markets have done magically well in recent weeks with people from the industry commenting on the amounts of gold bought in regional markets,” wrote Schubert.
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“This is the new gold rush,” quipped the manager of a Mall of the Emirates outlet of a major Dubai-based gold retailer, who said he did not wish to be named as he’s not authorised to talk to the media.
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“We have been running out of gold coins and bars even before they reach our stores,” he added. “There are people who are ‘pre-booking’ gold bars with us, and they collect it once new supply arrives,” he said.
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The pre-booking that the manager refers to entails customers paying a down payment, usually 10 to 15 per cent, of the price of the gold bar to reserve it for them, and then collect it when the physical bar is supplied, at the current gold rate.
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“One commentator said that the physical off-take in Hong Kong has been to the tune of 30 tonnes between the April 29 and the May 2 alone,” Schubert wrote in his weekly report.
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To put things in perspective, Hong King gold demand for 2012 stood at 28.5 tonnes, which mathematically means about 2.4 tonnes a month. Compares with that, the 30 tonnes off-take in four days goes on to show the massive physical support that gold has at these price levels.
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“Gold refineries are currently working flat out 24/7 in order to satisfy orders from all over the world,” says Schubert.
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I know that gold hasn’t been one of the most stable investments lately, but it still has apperciated about 500% since 2001.