- What has changed compared to the past? Why do I feel WW3 is highly likely? Both China & Russia have mobilized troops and are ready for WW3. Their stance indicate that they feel it is inevitable. Putin-Russia has concluded, IMO, that conflict with US-NATO is inevitable after the failed Kazakhstan color revolution.
- China is coordinating the coming Taiwan conflict with Russia. When Russia-NATO conflict starts, China will definitely seize the opportunity to take back Taiwan. The probability of success for USA to fight wars in Europe and Asia simultaneously is very much lesser.
- Putin can choose to go to war now or later. If he opts to do nothing, NATO troops will be deployed in Ukraine and the subversion of Kazakhstan will continue. So a conflict later will mean war on Russia land. Not a smart choice. You always choose to fight a war on someone else territory. War in your homeland means destruction of your homeland. Better to fight on another’s territory than attempt to evict your enemies in your homeland.
- There is one scenario where WW3 in Europe will NOT happen: the collapse of NATO. And the EU decide to say Adios to USA hegemony.
China sent 39 warplanes into Taiwan’s ADIZ on January 23, making it 2022’s biggest incursion. Taiwan’s defence ministry said that the Chinese aircraft flew in an area to the northeast of the Pratas islands. The Taiwan defence ministry said that Taiwanese fighters scrambled to warn away Chinese aircraft. China’s latest incursion came a day after US and Japan conducted joint exercises to prepare for regional conflict.