What Happens Next? Oil, Gold, Stocks, Bonds…By Lynette Zang
- ITM TRADING, INC.
Slides and Links: https://www.itmtrading.com/blog/the-m…
The new decade begins with a BANG as the US sends in drones and kills Qasem Soleimani, a key Iranian military leader, after attacks against American civilian in Iraq. On this news, gold broke out to new seven-year highs, bonds, stocks and oil seemed to shrug off this geopolitical crisis. Perhaps the flood of central bank liquidity helped support these severely overvalued markets. Overnight, Iran’s revenge began by striking the two Iraqi bases from which the US drones that killed Soleimani emanated. But not wanting to unleash US military retaliation, no one was hurt by these actions.
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Is this over? How much of the current market response is about complacency? If you look at the markets, including the oil market, you’d think so, but I’m not so sure. Ask yourself if you think this is done. Then ask yourself what is the most likely asset to protect your wealth if this is not over? If your wealth is held intangibly, it is at risk and not just because it’s nominal value could fall, but also because you could lose all access to it in a cyberattack. One reason physical gold has been money for 5,000 years is because it is indestructible. But central bankers know that if you don’t hold it, you don’t own it. Therefore, global central bankers have been accumulating and repatriating gold, the true safe-haven asset.
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